We are x-raying some politicians, who are first-timers in their respective positions, but may not be returning to that position and in some cases, any other elective position in 2023.
Some of them are affected by zoning arrangements while other are hindered by their poor performance, along with other prolitical influences such as wrong alliances or desire for higher offices.
The first on the list would be the former governor of Imo State, who is now the Senator representing Orlu zone, Rochas Okorocha.
Okorocha is a first-timer in the Senate, but has declared for the office of President of Nigeria, under the platform of the All Progressives Congress APC.
Even as his chances of getting the party’s ticket is slim, Okorocha’s chances of returning to the senate as an alternative becomes even slimmer, as he would most likely not get the party’s ticket for the Orlu Senate election.
When he loses the presidential primaries, Okorocha is expected to defect to another party, where he would attempt to return to the Senate.
But unlike 2019 when it was very difficult for him even as a governor with the powers of incumbent, to get a clear win at the elections, Okorocha’s poor representation of the people of Orlu will most certainly guarantee that he would not be getting their vote.
Ezenwa Onyewuchi’s poor performance at the Senate on its own, is a guarantee that he would not be reelected, if he can somehow manage to outwit Uche Onyeagocha and Basil Maduka for the party’s Owerri zone Senate ticket.
Onyewuchi is a first-timer at the Senate and hopes to return for a second term. With the crisis raging in the PDP, along with the relationship between Onyeagocha and Rt Hon Emeka Ihedioha who had always carried Onyewuchi on his back in the past, Onyewuchi may have to go this one on his own and that is a clear signal that he might not even get to the General Elections.
In the event that he does, Onyewuchi would most likely not be able to outsmart the likes of Ugochukwu Nwachukwu (Ugo Sly), Alex Mbata or whoever the APC sends after the ticket in 2023.
Frank Ibezim is more or less on an interim basis and may be replaced by more stronger political elements such as the former governor, Dr Ikedi Ohakim, if the APC hopes to retain the Okigwe Senate seat in 2023.
The younger Ifeanyi Araraume would probably be coming with his father’s bag of political tricks and the APC would need a stronger hand to keep him in check making Ohakim, who have always subdued Araraume senior, the best person to also subdue the son.
The trio of Kingsley Uju, Ugonna Ozurigbo OZB and Paschal Obi, are most likely not going to make reelection in 2023.
While OZB’s good performance as reported by some of his people, may serve as an edge for him, his political alliance with former governor Rochas Okorocha, might guarantee that he and his colleagues may not make reelection in 2023.
In the State Assembly, Uche Ogbuagu has already declared his interest in the National Assembly and as such, would not be returning to the State Assembly.
Philip Ejiogu has the problem of rotation in Owerri North to deal with, as the local government have not sent anybody to the State Assembly twice.
Several other state assembly member who are in their first term, may also not make the cut in 2023.